← Webway PTM Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Webway PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1171
· median 1171
· range 1139–1203
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1163
Q3 1343
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Water Zander | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
