GGA PTM Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	20.0%	2-5-0	28.6%	40.7%	45.0%	46.1%	1202	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	20.0%	5-2-0	71.4%	59.8%	55.2%	54.3%	1276	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-2-2	25.0%	39.5%	43.3%	44.8%	1144	↓ low
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	10.0%	4-1-0	80.0%	68.1%	56.7%	57.2%	1208	—
5		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.0%	46.7%	45.6%	1252	—
6		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-1	12.5%	33.0%	42.0%	42.7%	1094	↓ low
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	10.0%	4-1-0	80.0%	64.8%	57.1%	56.4%	1365	↑ top
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	51.5%	44.2%	48.8%	1055	↓ low
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	52.3%	56.7%	52.1%	1413	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 20.0%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 10.0%