Fire Ravishing MillTier 2
at GGA PTM Regionals
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.0%
avg ELO -8.9 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1252
· range 1252–1252
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1146
Q3 1290
1413
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
