← Buddy Connection GA PTM Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Buddy Connection GA PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.1%
avg ELO -9.6 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176
· median 1176
· range 1176–1176
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1162
Q1 1176
Q3 1322
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 22.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
