Buddy Connection GA PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	22.2%	4-0-2	83.3%	60.2%	57.3%	53.7%	1348	↑ top
2		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.1%	40.0%	43.2%	1169	↓ low
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-1-0	66.7%	62.3%	50.0%	53.0%	1231	—
4		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-0-1	83.3%	61.4%	55.0%	54.1%	1420	↑ top
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	41.6%	33.3%	41.6%	1162	↓ low
6		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	38.0%	46.7%	44.4%	1322	↑ top
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-1-0	50.0%	53.8%	50.0%	52.3%	1218	↓ low
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	37.1%	45.0%	45.9%	1176	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Genbu 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 11.1%