← Many Realms Hub Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Many Realms Hub Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 2 18.2% 10 75.0% 65.7% 59.0% 58.7% 1340
2 Water Fractal 1 9.1% 6 75.0% 55.0% 56.7% 51.4% 1535 ↑ top
3 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 63.1% 56.7% 60.3% 1383 ↑ top
4 Water Genbu 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 54.1% 53.1% 52.2% 1502 ↑ top
5 Fire Aetherwing 2 18.2% 6 33.3% 36.7% 45.6% 43.9% 1296
6 Water Crux Assassin 1 9.1% 3 16.7% 40.9% 42.5% 45.8% 1137 ↓ low
7 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 9.1% 2 0.0% 34.3% 40.0% 40.2% 1162 ↓ low
8 Horse and Taxes 1 9.1% 2 0.0% 36.2% 40.0% 41.8% 1384 ↑ top
9 Wind Astra Cleric 1 9.1% 3 16.7% 42.6% 38.9% 44.2% 1131 ↓ low