← Many Realms Arena Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Many Realms Arena Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 4 | 33.3% | 18 | 69.4% | 67.5% | 59.1% | 59.4% | 1369 | — |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.1% | 55.5% | 50.9% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 58.6% | 53.3% | 51.9% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 51.4% | 44.9% | 1368 | — |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 43.3% | 45.0% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.3% | 40.0% | 42.3% | 1131 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 42.8% | 39.2% | 39.9% | 1360 | — |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.6% | 35.6% | 43.9% | 994 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 29.9% | 33.3% | 29.9% | 1535 | ↑ top |