Fire AetherwingTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
5-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.9%
avg ELO +12.1 per match
expected value
62.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1507
· median 1507
· range 1507–1507
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1086
Q1 1368
Q3 1502
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 22.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
