← Phantom Monarchs The End Games Store Championship
Water Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs The End Games Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-0-1
overall winrate
91.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
76.6%
avg ELO +14.2 per match
expected value
64.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
66.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1388
· median 1388
· range 1388–1388
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1122
Q1 1170
Q3 1388
1507
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Alice | 15.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 75.0% | +18.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.0% | +16.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
