← Phantom Monarchs The End Games Store Championship
Wind AliceTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs The End Games Store Championship
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.1%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
54.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1493
· median 1493
· range 1479–1507
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1122
Q1 1170
Q3 1388
1507
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.5% | +11.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 25.0% | -18.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Alice decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
