← Grand Archive Store Championship- PTM
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championship- PTM
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1192
· median 1192
· range 1192–1192
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1224
Q3 1415
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Water Chess | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
