← Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
2-6-1
overall winrate
27.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.5%
avg ELO -8.6 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1290
· median 1290
· range 1103–1477
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1146
Q3 1334
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
