← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 75.0% | 52.0% | 58.1% | 52.8% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 54.7% | 54.0% | 53.1% | 1256 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 67.5% | 53.3% | 57.0% | 1337 | — |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 67.5% | 53.3% | 57.0% | 1337 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.8% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 1334 | — |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.9% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | 46.1% | 1271 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.0% | 48.6% | 50.1% | 1216 | — |
| 10 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.9% | 48.3% | 50.7% | 1146 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 49.2% | 45.8% | 49.5% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.0% | 43.3% | 48.8% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 26.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | 1354 | ↑ top |