Store championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.3%	46.7%	50.1%	1237	—
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-0	50.0%	41.2%	50.0%	44.7%	1476	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	71.4%	60.0%	60.0%	1248	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.7%	40.0%	41.0%	1233	—
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	47.8%	53.3%	49.0%	1397	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	66.0%	60.0%	57.5%	1357	↑ top
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.4%	46.7%	48.8%	1170	↓ low
8		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	42.8%	40.0%	45.7%	1051	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 12.5%