← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship @ TOTL Games
Wind ChessTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship @ TOTL Games
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.6%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1201
· range 1201–1201
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1188
Q3 1342
1438
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Genbu | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Alice | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Chess decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
