← VPC Store Champ - PTM Season
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at VPC Store Champ - PTM Season
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
1-4-3
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.6%
avg ELO -5.5 per match
expected value
43.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1339
· median 1339
· range 1195–1484
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1263
Q3 1429
1648
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
