EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at ptm店冠.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 61.6% | 60.0% | 54.8% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.0% | 53.3% | 51.4% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.6% | 53.3% | 50.8% | 1282 | — |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 58.7% | 52.5% | 56.0% | 1088 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 50.0% | 52.0% | 1307 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.2% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 1167 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 35.3% | 42.5% | 41.9% | 1237 | — |