← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.5%
avg ELO -13.0 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1157
· median 1157
· range 1157–1157
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
997
Q1 1161
Q3 1425
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -21.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
