← Cardpoint Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Cardpoint Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 58.7% | 60.0% | 54.1% | 1584 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.9% | 55.0% | 53.1% | 1334 | — |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 65.9% | 55.0% | 58.4% | 1297 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 55.0% | 56.9% | 1294 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.3% | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1361 | — |
| 6 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 28.5% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1271 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.5% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1336 | — |