← Solar Quester Grand Archive PTM Store Championship

Horse and TaxesTier 1

at Solar Quester Grand Archive PTM Store Championship

decks
1 (7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.0% avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1424 · median 1424 · range 1424–1424 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1046 Q1 1192 Q3 1384 1509
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Umbra Guardian 15.4% 0
Fire Crux Mage 7.7% 0
Fire Exia 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.9% +6.3
Fire Suited 7.7% 0
Fire Tera Tamer 7.7% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 7.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 7.7% 0
Wind Crux Mage 7.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.0% -12.8
Wind Umbra Diana 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.0
Wind Wakeup Combo 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.8
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/43691/archetypes/Horse and Taxes