← Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC
decks
3
(10.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-7-0
overall winrate
46.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.5%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1408
· median 1410
· range 1385–1429
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1008
Q1 1243
Q3 1452
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.2% | -21.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Wind Alice | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Wind Exia | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
