← Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC
Water FractalTier 2
at Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +4.0 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1368
· median 1368
· range 1368–1368
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1008
Q1 1243
Q3 1452
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
