← TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM

Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1

at TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM

decks
2 (15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 1-1-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.1% avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245 · median 1245 · range 1193–1297 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1101 Q1 1163 Q3 1254 1367
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 23.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.4% -3.4
Wind Seiryuu 15.4% 3 0-0-3 50.0% 50.0% 45.4% -3.4
Fire Aetherwing 7.7% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.7% 0
Fire Oblation 7.7% 0
Water Crux Mage 7.7% 0
Wind Allies 7.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.7% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Excalibur, Cleansing Light -1.00 0 1 0
Unmake Duality +1.00 1 0 0
Prismspire Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Thieving Cut -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Ducal Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/43798/archetypes/Fire Luxem Assassin