← TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM
Water Crux MageTier 2
at TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.2%
avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1253
· median 1253
· range 1253–1253
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1101
Q1 1163
Q3 1254
1367
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 23.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
