← HBST DIGINEKO PTM STORE CHAMPIONSHIP 31ST JAN
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at HBST DIGINEKO PTM STORE CHAMPIONSHIP 31ST JAN
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-1-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.0%
avg ELO +8.8 per match
expected value
57.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1395
· median 1395
· range 1352–1437
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1120
Q1 1186
Q3 1386
1446
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
