Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at JWW PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
61.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1689
· median 1689
· range 1689–1689
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1146
Q3 1410
1689
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 31.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.5% | +5.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
