PTM Store Championship Card Merchant Ponsonby

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	30.0%	5-3-0	62.5%	44.2%	55.6%	49.8%	1524	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	20.0%	0-4-2	16.7%	30.1%	40.0%	41.2%	1396	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-0-1	87.5%	68.2%	62.0%	64.2%	1491	↑ top
4		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-2	75.0%	63.8%	54.0%	54.4%	1412	—
5		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	10.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	61.9%	48.6%	54.2%	1217	↓ low
6		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	45.6%	43.3%	48.4%	1271	↓ low
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	44.1%	51.4%	52.0%	1315	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 30.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 20.0%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 10.0%