← FTG Phantom Monarch Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 1
at FTG Phantom Monarch Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-0-1
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +8.2 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1536
· median 1536
· range 1536–1536
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1153
Q1 1178
Q3 1382
1536
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Fire Suited | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
