FTG Phantom Monarch Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	15.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	42.0%	48.3%	47.1%	1355	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	15.4%	3-1-2	66.7%	64.7%	51.4%	52.8%	1273	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	15.4%	3-2-2	57.1%	54.3%	52.5%	52.4%	1259	↓ low
4		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-0-1	87.5%	62.8%	57.1%	55.4%	1536	↑ top
5		Fire Suited	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-1-0	75.0%	55.6%	52.0%	50.5%	1389	↑ top
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.4%	44.0%	42.9%	1364	↑ top
7		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	36.2%	40.0%	43.0%	1300	—
8		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-2-1	37.5%	51.8%	46.7%	49.6%	1153	↓ low
9		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	58.8%	52.0%	55.8%	1175	↓ low
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-1-2	33.3%	31.0%	48.0%	42.2%	1395	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 15.4%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 15.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 7.7%