← Grand Archive - Phantom Monarchs - Store Championship!
Fire OblationTier 1
at Grand Archive - Phantom Monarchs - Store Championship!
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1502
· median 1502
· range 1502–1502
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1072
Q1 1232
Q3 1369
1502
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Neos | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Wind Cats | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
