← Victory Point Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Victory Point Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 1 11.1% 4 100.0% 58.9% 60.0% 53.6% 1352 ↑ top
2 Fire Suzaku 1 11.1% 4 75.0% 61.8% 55.0% 54.7% 1364 ↑ top
3 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 11.1% 4 62.5% 60.2% 52.5% 54.1% 1278
4 Water Allies 1 11.1% 4 62.5% 57.4% 52.5% 53.0% 1318 ↑ top
5 Fire Aggro 1 11.1% 4 50.0% 44.3% 50.0% 47.7% 1262 ↓ low
6 Wind Razorgale 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 56.7% 46.7% 53.1% 1162 ↓ low
7 Wind Seiryuu 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 50.4% 46.7% 50.2% 1267
8 Wind Byakko 1 11.1% 3 0.0% 24.7% 40.0% 38.2% 1311
9 Wind Jin 1 11.1% 3 0.0% 31.1% 40.0% 41.2% 1291