← PTM Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 87.5% | 67.0% | 57.5% | 56.8% | 1491 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 53.3% | 55.0% | 51.3% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 52.5% | 55.0% | 51.0% | 1570 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 63.2% | 53.3% | 56.2% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 44.1% | 53.3% | 47.3% | 1584 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.1% | 50.0% | 48.4% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.4% | 50.0% | 53.7% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.9% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 1396 | — |
| 9 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.5% | 46.7% | 47.0% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.5% | 45.0% | 47.8% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.8% | 45.0% | 47.9% | 1315 | — |
| 12 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 29.3% | 40.0% | 40.3% | 1154 | ↓ low |