← Final Cut TCG Store Championship PTM Season
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Final Cut TCG Store Championship PTM Season
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-0-2
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.1%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1385–1385
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1135
Q1 1247
Q3 1428
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 25.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
