← Final Cut TCG Store Championship PTM Season
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Final Cut TCG Store Championship PTM Season
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-3-3
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
44.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1261
· median 1261
· range 1135–1387
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1135
Q1 1247
Q3 1428
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 25.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 42.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
