← The Armoury Store Championships PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Armoury Store Championships PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Fire Firebloom Burn
55.4%
↓ low
1st
Wind Shadowstrike
59.6%
↑ top
3rd
Fire Umbra Guardian
51.7%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 90.0% | 58.6% | 59.6% | 53.9% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 70.0% | 72.7% | 55.4% | 60.2% | 1240 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 44.9% | 51.7% | 47.2% | 1541 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 51.4% | 50.0% | 50.8% | 1311 | — |
| 5 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.8% | 48.3% | 47.3% | 1282 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.2% | 46.7% | 49.2% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.6% | 40.0% | 45.6% | 1084 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 33.2% | 40.0% | 39.9% | 1221 | ↓ low |