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Horse and TaxesTier 1

at PTM Everything Games Store Championship

decks
1 (9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.2% avg ELO +9.3 per match
expected value
54.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1276 · median 1276 · range 1276–1276 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100 Q1 1125 Q3 1295 1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 0
Fire Suzaku 9.1% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.4% +15.1
Water Allies 9.1% 0
Water Diana 9.1% 0
Water Fractal 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.4% +19.9
Water Genbu 9.1% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 9.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 61.1% +10.6
Water Umbra Guardian 9.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.6
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/44414/archetypes/Horse and Taxes