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Water DianaTier 1

at PTM Everything Games Store Championship

decks
1 (9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.6% avg ELO +7.2 per match
expected value
52.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1128 · median 1128 · range 1128–1128 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100 Q1 1125 Q3 1295 1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 0
Fire Suzaku 9.1% 0
Horse and Taxes 9.1% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.1% 0
Water Allies 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.8
Water Fractal 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.6% -7.0
Water Genbu 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.9% +17.5
Water Luxem Assassin 9.1% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.8
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.3% -5.9
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/44414/archetypes/Water Diana