← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1323
· range 1272–1374
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1229
Q3 1382
1418
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
