Phantom Monarchs Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	20.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.3%	50.7%	49.1%	1323	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	41.5%	40.0%	46.0%	1129	↓ low
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.0%	40.0%	44.1%	1124	↓ low
4		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	54.8%	53.3%	52.3%	1336	—
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-0-0	100.0%	68.6%	64.4%	62.8%	1385	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.6%	45.0%	48.3%	1216	↓ low
7		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	54.3%	50.0%	49.7%	1418	↑ top
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	48.8%	53.3%	49.4%	1416	↑ top
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.8%	55.0%	52.3%	1270	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%