← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Astra Cleric 1 11.1% 4 87.5% 52.7% 57.5% 51.1% 1226 ↑ top
2 Water Ravishing Mill 1 11.1% 5 80.0% 53.3% 56.0% 51.2% 1169
3 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 11.1% 4 62.5% 51.1% 52.5% 50.4% 1244 ↑ top
4 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 11.1% 5 60.0% 50.1% 52.0% 50.0% 1289 ↑ top
5 Fire Exia 1 11.1% 5 40.0% 49.5% 48.0% 49.8% 1128 ↓ low
6 Exia 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 48.8% 46.7% 49.5% 1188
7 Neos 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 48.9% 46.7% 49.5% 1169
8 Overlord 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 48.9% 46.7% 49.5% 1169
9 Water Fractal 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 49.0% 46.7% 49.5% 1133 ↓ low
10 Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 11.1% 3 0.0% 46.2% 40.0% 48.2% 1085 ↓ low