Water AetherwingTier 2
at 卡庫店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-4-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.8%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1260
· median 1260
· range 1209–1312
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1242
Q3 1396
1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.7% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 41.4% | -6.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
