Water GenbuTier 1
at 卡庫店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.5%
avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409
· median 1409
· range 1409–1409
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1242
Q3 1396
1523
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.8% | -24.4 |
| Fire Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
