Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at 美樂地 GA店家冠軍賽20260131
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.2%
avg ELO +8.2 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1297
· median 1297
· range 1297–1297
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1218
Q3 1372
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
