← Store Championship PTM @gamestimetorino
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Store Championship PTM @gamestimetorino
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-2-2
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.1%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1160
· median 1160
· range 1160–1160
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1093
Q1 1152
Q3 1278
1334
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.8% | -5.9 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
