← 1/3/2026 YUGUCO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 1/3/2026 YUGUCO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 100.0% | 58.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | 1498 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 66.7% | 60.6% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 18.8% | 9 | 66.7% | 60.6% | 52.2% | 53.0% | 1249 | — |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 3 | 18.8% | 7 | 50.0% | 46.4% | 52.0% | 49.7% | 1264 | — |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 53.9% | 52.0% | 55.5% | 1128 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 66.7% | 46.1% | 50.0% | 45.6% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 25.0% | 37.4% | 46.5% | 46.1% | 1232 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.8% | 43.3% | 44.3% | 1198 | — |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | 1088 | ↓ low |