Mox Valley Games PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	25.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	58.3%	55.0%	53.3%	1329	—
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	33.6%	45.0%	41.7%	1436	↑ top
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	44.6%	52.5%	49.5%	1309	—
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.0%	45.0%	48.5%	1308	—
5		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	58.7%	50.0%	54.1%	1212	↓ low
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	57.9%	50.0%	51.7%	1253	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-0	0.0%	45.4%	40.0%	45.4%	1051	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%