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Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Colossal Cards PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1205
· median 1205
· range 1205–1205
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1123
Q3 1330
1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
