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Water AetherwingTier 1
at Colossal Cards PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +6.8 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1194
· median 1194
· range 1194–1194
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1123
Q3 1330
1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.0% | +5.2 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
