← CardLab PTM GA Store Championships
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at CardLab PTM GA Store Championships
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.6%
avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1516
· median 1516
· range 1516–1516
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1225
Q3 1389
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
