← Outpost ghent | store championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Outpost ghent | store championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.2%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1145–1362
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1141
Q3 1377
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Tera Mage | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.3% | +11.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.7% | -7.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
